Tuesday, November 28, 2017

Week 12 Update

Here are the current standings, corrected using our tiebreaking algorithm:

  1. Leviathans (8-4)
  2. Screaming Eagles (8-4)
  3. ~ AirMatt ~ (7-5)
  4. Air Apparent (7-5)
  5. Merrill's Marauders (7-5)
  6. Orion River Horses (7-5)
  7. Suspended Atomnation (6-6)
  8. Golden Grahams (5-7)
  9. Team Harbaughs (5-7)
  10. Los Diablos (5-7)
  11. Strike Team (4-8)
  12. Psychotic Ninjas (3-9)
Now see, normally I might spend some time talking about how things got to this state, and talking about what needs to happen next week for this or that team to make the playoffs, clinch a first-round bye, etc.

BUT --- I have no idea what any individual team needs to do to improve their standing next week, other than to win by as many points as possible, because there are approximately 517,422,312 different possible outcomes to analyze.  So I won't be doing any of that (many, if not most of you, might see that as a win).

Levi and Jason have clinched a playoff spot, since neither of them can finish lower than the #6 seed.  Beyond that, I expect it's possible that Adam could knock out any of Matt, Taylor, Merril or Pete with a win.

Another surprising twist in the season: thanks to their record-tying 9-game losing streak to start the season, the Ninjas have 'clinched' a first-round bye into the bottom playoff bracket, despite holding the league's longest current winning streak.

Finally, if the Ninjas manage to win a fourth straight next week, and Levi and Jason lose, then there will only be a 4-game spread between first place and last place (from 8-5 to 4-9), which would certainly be something of a surprise considering how the season started.

As a parting gift, here's a photo showing my work where I figured out the #3 through #6 seeds.  I believe the only error is that I thought I was resolving the #2 through #5 seeds.  I just want to thank Kubicek again for introducing this rule.


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